The Stealth Bull Market

MarketWatch’s Mark Hulbert says that, while the market has continued its upward trend in the past few months, sentiment remains quite low among market-timers — and that’s good news for stocks. As of Thursday, the shortest-term market-timers tracked by Hulbert’s Hulbert Financial Digest, on average, recommended that investors be 19.4% in stocks. “Though that may strike you as surprising, it is precisely what contrarian theory would suggest: The bull market is climbing a wall of worry,” Hulbert writes. In addition, Hulbert says the last time that the average recommended equity exposure among those newsletters was as low as it is […]

Gabelli Says “Plain Ol’ Stock Picking” Still Works

In an interview with CNBC, GAMCO’s Mario Gabelli says the way to make money in a fairly flat market is by going back to “plain ol’ stock picking” — and says that the “new normal” will look a lot like the old normal. “It’s not the new normal — it’s the way it used to be” until the financial sector blew up, Gabelli says. He adds that he expects “the strong will get stronger,” citing firms like Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan. And he also is on the lookout for companies that will go through what he terms “financial engineering”. (Thanks […]

“High-Quality” Picks from the Gurus

In the past two days, two of the most successful gurus I follow — GMO’s Jeremy Grantham and Gotham Capital’s Joel Greenblatt — have said that they are seeing a lot of value in “high-quality” stocks, as opposed to the junk-type stocks that have led the recent market surge. In his third-quarter letter, Grantham says that U.S. “quality stocks (high, stable return and low debt)”, are now trading at “genuine outlier levels” compared to the rest of the market after the junk rally. “In our seven-year forecast the quality segment has a full seven-percentage-point lead over the whole S&P 500, […]

Greenblatt: High-Quality Appears to Offer Most Value

Hedge fund guru Joel Greenblatt says that he thinks the best values in the stock market are probably now in the “high-quality” area, as opposed to the junk stocks that have led the recent rally. And, he says he’s not too concerned with potential inflation — or deflation, for that matter. Greenblatt, who uses a purely quantitative formula to pick stocks, tells Yahoo! TechTicker that he doesn’t like to predict where the broader market will go. But he does say that stocks with poor fundamentals got hammered last fall and in the early part of 2009, and have then surged […]