Goldman’s Rebuilt Quant Approach

When quantitative equity funds experienced a meltdown ten years ago, Goldman Sachs (among the hardest hit) “began to rebuild the strategies with less leverage and more diversity,” according to a recent Bloomberg article. “A decade later,” the article says, “the quant unit has clawed itself back to respectability,” and now manages about $110 billion. But the team faces stiff competition, “with almost every asset manager chasing quant money, betting on similar factors and shaving fees on exchange-traded funds to near-zero.” The article explains that the Goldman unit now “uses leverage in only some offerings and monitors markets for signs that […]

Environment Could Be Ripe for Small- and Mid-Cap Stocks

Even though their post-election surge has recently cooled, both small- and mid-cap equities remain well-poised in today’s market environment, according to two portfolio managers at Goldman Sachs in a recent Barron’s article. The authors outline the following supporting factors: President Trump’s’ agenda could “benefit small- and mid-cap companies disproportionately” since a large portion of their revenues come from domestic operations. Corporate tax reform could also have a bigger impact on smaller companies. The post-election surge might be a good sign. Historically, the authors argue, “months with the highest Russell 2000 returns have been followed by even stronger periods of performance, […]

Goldman: Fund Managers Relying Too Heavily on U.S. Stocks

An analysis of professionally managed investment portfolios revealed to a team of Goldman strategists that “many investors are missing important potential sources of return as a result of putting too many of their “risk” eggs in one basket—U.S. equities.” This according to a recent article in Barron’s. The article argues that many portfolios appear to be overlooking “potentially attractive” opportunities in emerging market, emerging market debt and small-cap equities (in Japan, Europe and other non-U.S. developed countries). It also underscores the distinction between risk allocation and asset allocation, stressing that a “large allocation to a few assets classes can lead […]

Goldman's Cohen Sounding Bullish

Goldman Sachs’ Abby Joseph Cohen says the improving economy makes for a bullish outlook for equities. Cohen tells Bloomberg Surveillance that with the economy growing at about 3% and corporate earnings growing in the high single digits, she thinks the S&P 500’s fair value will be about 2150 a year from now.

Goldman: Equities Cheapest vs. Bonds in a Generation

In a new report, Goldman Sachs says that stocks are as attractive compared to bonds as they’ve been at any time in the last generation, and that investors would be wise to shun bonds and focus on equities. “Given current valuations, we think it’s time to say a ‘long good bye’ to bonds, and embrace the ’long good buy’ for equities as we expect them to embark on an upward trend over the next few years,” says the report, written by Peter Oppenheimer and Matthieu Walterspiler. (Thanks to Zero Hedge for highlighting the report). They argue that several factors — including […]

Goldman’s Cohen Says Bull Market Has Begun

Goldman Sachs Senior Investment Strategist Abby Joseph Cohen says Goldman believes we’re in a new bull market, and that the S&P 500 should be at 1050 to 1100 by year-end. “We are beginning to see improvement, even in the labor market,” Cohen told CNBC. “We do think that the new bull market has begun. … [But] don’t expect it to look to look like a ‘V’; expect it to look like a series of upward steps.” Cohen says that while employment won’t turn on a dime, the global economy is looking up. “Our sense is that things are now coming […]