Nobel Prize-winning Yale Economist Robert Shiller recently appeared on WealthTrack and offered some of his thoughts on where he’s been finding value in the stock market.
Fund manager Tom Forester, who was the only equity fund manager to make money in 2008 when the housing and financial crises rocked markets, says issues still lurk beneath the surface of the rebounding housing market. While foreclosures and delinquencies have declined quite a bit, Forester tells Investor’s Business Daily that many foreclosed homes have been bought in recent years by hedge funds or wealthy investors, who wanted to rent out the properties to make money. But an oversupply of rental properties is curtailing their efforts. “Many hedge funds paid full price and more, leading to a price spurt,” Forester […]
Yale Economist and housing guru Robert Shiller says that he doesn’t think the U.S. housing market is in “boom territory”, but he does compare the current environment to the start of the late 1990s/early 2000s housing boom . Shiller tells FOX Business Network that he thinks home prices will probably keep going up for another six to 12 months. But after that, he says he’s not sure, as he’s worried that an environment of housing shortages and record-low rates, which were driving prices higher, is ending.
The U.S. housing recovery has encouraged many investors in recent months, but Gluskin Sheff & Associates Chief Economist David Rosenberg isn’t sure the rebound has legs. Rosenberg tells CNBC that, while “we’ve certainly had a housing recovery,” the recovery has been in large part a result of housing starts — which plummeted during the Great Recession — catching up to underlying demographic demand. To keep improving, Rosenberg says more first-time buyers need to be involved. Right now, they make up only about 30% of buyers; if that number crosses 40%, Rosenberg says he’d be a believer in the recovery continuing. […]
While many believe the housing market has turned a corner, Yale housing guru Robert Shiller isn’t so sure. Shiller tells Bloomberg that while short-term indicators are up, that also happened in 2009, but the trend didn’t turn into a long-term one. Shiller also talks about the broader financial system, which he says has gotten “a little better”. And he says that we’re a long, long ways away from the climate of “irrational exuberance” that can lead to major market crashes.