What “Trumpflation” Could Mean to Investors

The best scenario for investors is steady and low levels of inflation that ward off deflation but also discourage central banks from hiking rates too rapidly, says a Wall Street Journal article from last month. So far, the article asserts, “Trumpflation” has been embraced by deflation-fearing investors—but shareholders should be “keeping a watchful eye on […]

Inflation’s Effects on Asset Returns

The results of a study on asset performance during periods of both low and high inflation are presented in this month’s issue of AAII Journal by Craig Israelsen Ph.D and developer of the 7Twelve Portfolio The median level of inflation used was 3.29%, as it allowed researchers to divide the 46-year period between 1970 and 2015 in […]

Four Conditions Reminiscent of 1999

Rob Arnott, founder and chairman of Research Affiliates, says that the recent market environment is reminiscent of 1999, just before the tech bubble burst. Writing in Barron’s, Arnott argues that the following four “conditions parallel the extremes of the late 1990s:” “Falling inflation expectations,” which Arnott argues “snap back in reasonably short order.” He observes […]

4 Options to Beat Inflation in the Future

A recent piece in Forbes offers 4 suggestions for beating inflation. After noting that “the present 0% rate [of inflation] blends an upward march of 2% in the cost of services with a collapse in the price of oil,” the article observes that “if commodities rebound over several years, 4% inflation could surface.” To protect […]