The Payoff and Perils of Momentum-based Stocks

Many investors follow momentum-based methods or approaches when investing in equities, but does momentum investing actually work and what are the results? This is the basis for a recent AAII article by Charles Rotblut, CFA, vice president at AAII and editor of the AAII Journal. Relative price strength, which compares the price performance of a security to another security or the overall market or an industry, is one of the most popular ways to identify stocks exhibiting momentum. A higher relative strength, with 100 being the highest, equals more momentum and better relative performance. Since the early 1990s, academics, such […]

Good Strategies Look Beyond Earnings

Whether it’s talk about earnings growth or earnings estimates or price/earnings ratios, stock market news is usually filled with discussions of corporate earnings. But in his latest for Seeking Alpha, Validea CEO John P. Reese says that good investing goes beyond looking at earnings-related metrics. “Earnings don’t always tell the whole story,” Reese writes.  “In fact, oftentimes other metrics can provide an even better gauge of how a company or the market is doing. The Price/Sales Investor strategy I track on Validea.com is a good example. The key variable it looks at is the price/sales ratio – PSR – which […]

Mid Cap Manager’s Rules-Based Method Produces Strong Results

Barron’s reports on mid-cap fund managers Neil Hennessy and Brian Peery, who manage Hennessy Cornerstone Mid-Cap 30. Peery says, “A lot of financial advisors don’t allocate in the mid-cap space, which gives us an advantage.” Mid Caps have outperformed Large and Small Caps over 10, 15, and 20 years, and the Cornerstone Mid-Cap fund has beaten 86% of its peers. Hennessy and Peery take what Barron’s describes as “a fairly strict, rules-based approach to constructing their portfolios.” They annually construct a portfolio in which each stock – selected based on price/sales ratio, annual sales, and rising share price – constitutes […]

O’Shaughnessy: Timeframe Is Most Investors’ Biggest Mistake

James O’Shaughnessy’s What Works on Wall Street is something of a bible for quantitative investors, and in a recent Investors Podcast, O’Shaughnessy talked about what his vast amount of research has taught him. O’Shaughnessy says it is critical to understand human nature if you want to succeed at investing. While his book detailed how dozens of quantitative strategies have worked over several decades, he says he wasn’t worried that disclosing the information would lead to hordes of investors piling into the best strategies, and thus ruining them. He “knew that, human nature being what it is, that they might get […]

When It Comes To Growth Or Value, Have Your Cake And Eat It Too

It’s extremely common to hear investment commentators talk about “growth” and “value” as though they are polar opposites. But Validea CEO John Reese says not to buy that false notion. “When it comes to investing’s great ‘either/or’ – that is, the growth or value debate – you can have your cake and eat it, too,” Reese writes for Canada’s Globe and Mail. “That’s because the great growth versus value debate is, in fact, a false choice. … Confining yourself to either value stocks or growth stocks is only limiting your portfolio’s potential. At certain times, you’ll be able to find […]