Gundlach Says Now is the Time for Caution

In a phone interview with Bloomberg earlier this month, Jeffrey Gundlach said, “This is not the time period where you say, ‘I can buy anything and not worry about the risk of it’ The time to do that was 18 months ago.” The DoubleLine Capital LP co-founder and CEO, the article says, “sees too much of a good thing—and he wants no part of it.” He views risky assets such as junk bonds and emerging-market debt as overvalued, and shares the opinion of Oaktree’s Howard Marks that the markets have become too bullish. Gundlach told Bloomberg that he wants to […]

Master Investors Marks, Dalio & Gundlach Issue Cautionary Views on Markets

By John P. Reese — The waning days of August leave many parents looking forward to the start of school and many investors bracing for September, the month that is historically the worst of the calendar year for stocks. Add the increasing uncertainty coming out of Washington and stock valuations that look increasingly overheated, and it’s enough for a few prominent investors to warn that a pullback is probably on its way. That may not be a bad thing. The widely watched Dow Jones industrial average has hit more than two dozen record highs this year, blowing past 21,000 in […]

Gundlach on Bond Yields and the Broader Market

The market would be hurt if yields on 10-year Treasuries climbed to 3 percent or higher next year, says Jeffrey Gundlach as reported in Bloomberg. The DoubleLine Capital CIO has called president-elect Trump’s policies “bond unfriendly” and says that Treasury yields above 3 percent (benchmark Treasuries are currently trading below 2.5 percent) “would start to have a real impact on market liquidity in corporate bonds and junk bonds.” Gundlach says that he will be looking for signs that “Fed members are growing inclined to raise rates more aggressively in the next couple of years as the economy heats up.” Gundlach’s […]

DoubleLine’s Gundlach Identifies Downward Pressures, Warns Against Fed Rate Hike

Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO of DoubleLine Capital, delivered a fairly grim assessment in a recent webcast, Financial Advisor reports. Characterizing the recent bump in stocks as a bear-market rally, Gundlach pointed to a combination of factors that will put downward pressure on markets, expressed concern about the impact a Fed rate increase would have, and described positive market sentiment as perplexing. He identified valuation as one problem: “The S&P charts look horrific,” he said, “when you take out outliers from mining and energy, the valuation levels are a little scary.” He also said equities are closely correlated with the price of […]