Jeremy Grantham’s Outlook for 2016 and Beyond

Jeremy Grantham authored a piece for Barron’s recently in which he argues that “the positive effects of low resource prices are underestimated,” maintains that we are not in a bubble and thus “a major market break [is] unlikely” to occur yet,  and suggests that the longer-term forecast is “rather depressing.” Looking back at 2015, Grantham […]

Jeremy Grantham, Jonathan Jacobson, Seth Klarman and Jeffrrey Vinik: “Below the Radar” Philanthropy of Top Investors to Social Causes

The Boston Globe profiles philanthropy by leading investors. Jeremy Grantham’s foundations, including the $377 million Grantham Foundation for the Protection of the Environment, reflect a movement toward “making big bets on social change philanthropy,” according to Paul Grogan of the Boston Foundation. This is a shift apparent in Grantham’s own remarks: he noted that giving […]

A Bearish View from GMO’s Grantham

Ben Inker and Jeremy Grantham of Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co. issued a quarterly letter suggesting the bull market cannot last much longer. Inker writes that the U.S. has been outperforming for decades but attacks the idea that US stocks are inherently superior even as they grow more expensive. “We cannot completely reject the […]

What Worries Jeremy Grantham Now

Given that he was one of the few to warn about both the Internet bubble and the housing and credit bubble before they burst, Jeremy Grantham’s worries and concerns about the economy and stock market carry a lot of weight. So what is GMO’s front man concerned about these days? Resources. In an interview with The […]

Grantham Talks Growth, Markets, and More

GMO’s Jeremy Grantham recently sat down for a lengthy interview with Charlie Rose, and offered a number of interesting takes on the economy and stock market. Grantham says that the great U.S. franchise company stocks are a bit expensive, but that the balance of the U.S. market is very expensive. Overseas in emerging markets, the […]

Grantham on a Low-Growth, Overpriced Environment

Equities and other assets have become overpriced (to varying degrees) just about everywhere you look, GMO’s Jeremy Grantham says in his latest quarterly letter. “Courtesy of the … Fed[‘s] policy, all global assets are once again becoming overpriced,” writes Grantham. “But, as always, asset prices are not uniformly overpriced: emerging markets and, we believe, Japan […]

Slow Growth Here To Stay, Says Grantham

GMO’s Jeremy Grantham says those waiting for the U.S. to return to the 3%+ growth rates it has averaged over the past hundred years are going to be disappointed. “The U.S. GDP growth rate that we have become accustomed to for over a hundred years … is not just hiding behind temporary setbacks,” Grantham writes […]

Grantham Keeping Head Down Amid Headwinds

In an interview with Charlie Rose for Bloomberg BusinessWeek, GMO’s Jeremy Grantham says he’s going to be quite cautious in 2013. “I am going to be careful, particularly for the first half of next year,” Grantham says. “Great brands of blue chips are not so bad in the U.S. Emerging countries are about fair price. […]

Grantham: Act Now, Or Food Crisis Could Be Devastating

GMO’s Jeremy Grantham says the world is well into a food crisis that isn’t likely to abate, and that it will have huge sociological, governmental, economic, and investment repercussions. “We are five years into a severe global food crisis that is very unlikely to go away,” Grantham writes in his latest quarterly letter on GMO’s […]

Grantham on Incredibly Irrational Markets

In his latest quarterly letter, GMO’s Jeremy Grantham offers some very interesting data on the disconnect between the stock market on one hand, and the economy and “fair value” of the stock market on the other. “This difference is massive — two-thirds of the time annual GDP growth and annual change in the fair value […]

Grantham: Investment Outlook “Not Bad At All”

GMO’s Jeremy Grantham has released his fourth-quarter letter, and, while the often-gloomy strategist focuses a good deal on the troubling flaws of the existing capitalist system, his investing outlook paints a fairly attractive picture. “The majority of global equities are within spitting distance (a technical term) of fair value,” Grantham writes. “Only the S&P 500 […]

Grantham’s Firm Sees “Mother of All Bubbles” in China

Jeremy Grantham’s firm is taking a very bearish stance on China, believing the country is in a huge infrastructure and real estate bubble. “China is experiencing the mother of all bubbles,” Peter Chiappinelli, portfolio strategist at Grantham’s GMO, says, according to InvestmentNews.com. “We don’t know when it’s going to pop or what’s going to cause […]

GMO High on Quality & Value, Sour on Bonds

Jeremy Grantham’s GMO has published its fourth-quarter update, offering a contrarian position on Europe and outlining its strategies as we head into 2012. The firm says it moved “incrementally into Europe” in the fourth quarter of 2011, adding. “Selectively, slowly, prudently, of course, but the general belief is that markets have overreacted, and this always […]

Is There A Hole In The CAPE?

While some prominent strategists, including Jeremy Grantham and Robert Shiller, have pointed to the 10-year cyclically-adjusted price/earnings ratio (“CAPE”) as evidence that stocks (in particular the S&P 500) are very overvalued, Wharton Professor Jeremy Siegel says there’s a flaw in the metric.  The flaw, Siegel said at a TD Ameritrade Institutional conference, involves the 2008 year, […]

Grantham’s GMO Not As Gloomy On Stocks As You Think

While Jeremy Grantham’s GMO has been gloomy about the outlook on stocks, the firm’s head of asset allocation says there are also good opportunities in the market right now. “We think there is money to be made,” Ben Inker tells The Boston Globe. “There’s plenty of stuff to be worried about. [But] there’s actually a […]

The Gurus Dig Deep For Resource Plays

In his latest article for Nasdaq.com, Validea CEO John Reese takes a look at some natural resource-related stocks that look attractive right now.  “With the world population continuing to rise, global economies running for the most part on non-renewable resources, and central banks injecting huge sums of money into the financial system in recent years, […]

Grantham Gloomy, But Not Running From Equities

GMO’s Jeremy Grantham sounds quite gloomy in his latest quarterly letter, though he advises a “near normal” allocation to equities and says high-quality U.S. stocks are “relatively cheap”. Grantham says that both debt overhangs and structural problems — such as income inequality, an aging population, deficiencies in infrastructure and education, and the government’s inability to […]