Apple vs. Google, and Other Market “Playoff” Matchups

With the NCAA’s college football playoff only a couple weeks away, Validea CEO John Reese recently took a look at some stock market “playoff” matchups that feature several global powerhouses, including Apple, Coca-Cola, and Google. In a column for Forbes.com, Reese looks at how four pairs of market rivals stack up against each other. The matchups: Apple vs. Google, PepsiCo vs. Coca-Cola, Exxon Mobil vs. Chevron, and Anheuser-Busch InBev vs. Molson Coors. Reese uses his Guru Strategies to analyze each firm on a purely quantitative basis. “The numbers might not tell you everything, but they tell you more than you […]

Be Like Buffett: Go Low — Low-Beta, That Is

Conventional wisdom has long held that, in investing, greater risk leads to greater reward. But over the past couple years, new research has turned that idea on its head, and in his most recent Seeking Alpha article, Validea CEO John Reese looks at some of the implications for investors. “In Betting Against Beta, Andrea Frazzini and Lasse Pedersen found that [Warren] Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway has beaten the market over the long haul by focusing on low-beta stocks, and using leverage – other people’s money – when buying them,” Reese says. “Most investors can’t use large amounts of leverage, however. Instead, […]

When It Comes To Growth Or Value, Have Your Cake And Eat It Too

It’s extremely common to hear investment commentators talk about “growth” and “value” as though they are polar opposites. But Validea CEO John Reese says not to buy that false notion. “When it comes to investing’s great ‘either/or’ – that is, the growth or value debate – you can have your cake and eat it, too,” Reese writes for Canada’s Globe and Mail. “That’s because the great growth versus value debate is, in fact, a false choice. … Confining yourself to either value stocks or growth stocks is only limiting your portfolio’s potential. At certain times, you’ll be able to find […]

Would Lynch, Buffett, and Graham Like Apple, Facebook, and GE?

How do Apple, Facebook, Berkshire Hathaway, and other market giants stack up against the strategies used by history’s greatest investors? In his latest column for Forbes.com, Validea CEO John P. Reese takes a look at how 10 market titans fare, and the results might surprise you. Reese notes that, historically, small stocks have beaten large stocks by a significant margin. Small stocks have an advantage because they can fly under the radar in a way that larger stocks cannot, and they usually come with an added risk premium because they tend to be less stable and more susceptible to bankruptcy. […]

Value Portfolio, Meet Big Mo’

Much like a shot of nutrient-rich wheatgrass can add a “power boost” to your morning smoothie, a shot of momentum can add a big boost to your value investing portfolio, Validea CEO John Reese says. The idea of focusing on hot stocks may make value investors, who tend to find bargain-priced stocks amid the beaten-down members of the market, cringe, Reese writes in his latest for Canada’s Globe and Mail. “But value stocks aren’t always falling. Nor are red-hot stocks always expensive,” he says. “While they are often portrayed as polar opposites, value and momentum are really two separate concepts. […]

Don’t Get Spooked By Value Stocks

Value stocks may have underperformed growth stocks for several years now, but Validea CEO John Reese says investors would be wise not to pronounce value investing dead anytime soon. “Given that it’s Halloween season, it seems appropriate that value stocks are starting to stage a comeback in the United States,” Reese writes in his latest column for Canada’s Globe and Mail. “Much like the villain in a scary slasher flick, value stocks have been beaten, battered and, by many, presumed dead. They’ve been losing to growth stocks since mid-2006, marking the longest stretch of imbalance in the growth/value cycle in […]

How Your Brain Hurts Your Returns — And What You Can Do To Stop It

What’s the biggest obstacle to investment success? Validea’s John Reese says it may well be our own brains. “The capabilities of human beings’ brains are staggering,” Reese writes in his latest piece for Forbes.com. “Over the course of many millennia, the development of our brains has allowed us to outsmart dangerous predators, build enormous cities and create complex machines like computers and automobiles. Our brains let us think abstractly, plan for the future and create emotion-provoking art and music.” “But,” he continues, “when it comes to investing, our brains have us hardwired to fail.” He says that our alertness to […]

Focus on Long-Term Food Trends, Not Short-Term Factors, Reese Says

One of the keys to successful investing is knowing the difference between long-term trends and short-term disruptions. That’s what Validea CEO John Reese says, and he says investors who can do that can take advantage of some opportunities in food-related stocks right now. While food prices are down globally over the past year, the factors pushing them lower – Russia’s embargo of US products, China’s slowdown, bird flu fears, and the strengthening dollar – are all relatively short-term factors, Reese says in his latest Forbes.com column. Longer-term trends point toward higher food prices, however, he contends. Growing world population, increasing […]

A Disciplined Market-Timing System That Nearly Doubled The Market Over Four-Plus Decades

Trying to time the market often leads to big problems for most investors. But Validea CEO John P. Reese says that, in the hands of a highly disciplined investor, a rules-based market-timing strategy can yield stellar results, as it has for him. “With market timing, the danger is less about the activity itself and more about how you go about it,” Reese writes in a column for Proactive Advisor magazine. “Many market-timers have little knowledge about how the market moves over time, they jump in and out of stocks or indexes based on what everyone else is doing. Their decisions […]