El-Erian: U.S. Improving, But “Not At Escape Velocity”

PIMCO’s Mohamed El-Erian says the U.S. economy is improving, but still has big issues to deal with. “We continue to heal … but we’re not at escape velocity,” El-Erian tells CNBC. He says that while improvement can be seen in areas like housing, the U.S. hasn’t gotten over “the three big issues”: not enough aggregate demand, too few structural reforms, and too much leverage (which has been shifted from the private sector to the public sector). El-Erian says he thinks Treasury yields may actually fall in the next few months, but he thinks that the long-term environment is one of […]

El-Erian On How Japan Impacts The Bond Market

PIMCO’s Mohamed El-Erian says what’s happening in Japan is key to what will happen with the bond market in the U.S. El-Erian tells CNBC that the latest stage of the stock market rally seems to have been driven by Japan’s big stimulus efforts, and by the notion in general that central banks around the globe are “all in” in terms of bolstering markets. El-Erian says he thinks that over the next few months we’ll find that Japan central bank policies are becoming “increasingly ineffective”, however. He says markets have priced in the idea that central bank growth will give way […]

El-Erian: Markets Front-Running BOJ

PIMCO’s Mohamed El-Erian says that all assets are trading at “very artificial” levels due to central bank policies. El-Erian tells Yahoo! Finance’s Daily Ticker that central banks’ flooding of the markets with liquidity is the reason why stocks are up significantly this year while Treasury rates have actually fallen. He says that the U.S. economy is healing slowly, and that companies are helping markets by giving cash back to shareholders. But he says the markets are front-running central banks’ liquidity deluge, and that the most recent rise in U.S. markets is a front-running of the Bank of Japan’s loosening policies. […]

El-Erian: Fed Using Cyclical Medicine To Treat Structural Problem

PIMCO’s Mohamed El-Erian says central banks are continuing down a path that has an incredibly bifurcated set of outcomes. “Rather than step back and ask why (the measures have not succeeded), they just go deeper and deeper,” El-Erian tells CNBC of the loose money policies central banks around the globe are using. “The question is, will they finally succeed in transitioning from assisted growth to real growth, or will it end in tears? I think that’s a major uncertainty and the market doesn’t quite understand just how binary this outcome is.” El-Erian says that the U.S. unemployment problems are structural, […]

El-Erian: Time To Scale Back Risk

PIMCO’s Mohamed El-Erian says it’s time to gradually take money off the table because asset prices have gotten ahead of fundamentals. “We think that prices are artificially high, that maintaining them here is going to be hard as central banks become less effective, and that it’s time to book some profits and to wait for some better entry points,” El-Erian tells Yahoo! Finance’s Daily Ticker. But he also says that this isn’t a “Lehman moment.” But he thinks “prices that have gotten way ahead of what policy can deliver.” El-Erian also talks about how the easing policies of central banks […]