Gundlach on Bond Yields and the Broader Market

The market would be hurt if yields on 10-year Treasuries climbed to 3 percent or higher next year, says Jeffrey Gundlach as reported in Bloomberg. The DoubleLine Capital CIO has called president-elect Trump’s policies “bond unfriendly” and says that Treasury yields above 3 percent (benchmark Treasuries are currently trading below 2.5 percent) “would start to have a real impact on market liquidity in corporate bonds and junk bonds.” Gundlach says that he will be looking for signs that “Fed members are growing inclined to raise rates more aggressively in the next couple of years as the economy heats up.” Gundlach’s […]

Small Caps Offer Opportunities, Especially When Rates are Rising

Chris Tessin of Acuitas Investments recently authored a piece for the InvestmentNews that outlined the historical pattern of micro-cap and small cap outperformance during periods of rising interest rates. Tessin notes that small firms have now lagged large cap names on a 1, 3, 5 and 10-year basis, and that relative underperformance is now producing an investment “opportunity”. According to Tessin, smaller firms have a history of outperforming during periods of increasing interest rates, and the magnitude of outperformance is “greater than the long-term relative return premium normally associated with investing in these asset classes.” There are two reasons why […]