Are Stocks Cheap or Expensive?

Yale’s Robert Shiller and Penn finance professor Jeremy Siegel have long dueled over whether stocks are cheap or expensive, and Daniel Fisher, of Forbes, reviews the arguments in his recent post. Shiller devised CAPE by measuring the inflation-adjusted earnings per share for the S&P over the trailing 10 years, instead of just the most recent […]

Jeremy Siegel’s Critique of the Shiller P/E Ratio and His Market Outlook

Financial Advisor reports on Wharton School of Finance Professor Jeremey Siegel’s comments at the annual Inside ETFs conference, where he critiqued the widely used Shiller P/E Ratio. Siegel did not necessarily attack the original logic of the Shiller P/E (which won its creator, Robert Shiller, a Nobel Prize). Instead, he noted that changes to the definition […]

Shiller Voices Concerns Over Market

Prof. Robert Shiller is voicing concerns over multiple factors right now, including the high CAPE ratio (the P/E of the market using 10 years’ worth of earnings) and the increased volatility in stocks. The large downward moves recently in equities have led many investors to pay much closer attention to the market’s daily movements, especially […]

Have Computer Algorithms Eliminated Alpha?

Today’s markets are dominated by computer-based trading and complicated algorithms that can profit from very small inefficiencies in the market over split second periods of time. Many argue that these computer systems have made outperforming the market considerably more difficult. Yale professor Robert Shiller looks at this argument in his latest article for Capital Finance […]

Is It A Bond Bubble? Shiller Weighs In

Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Shiller — who called both the technology bubble and the housing bubble — says the bond market is not currently fitting the traditional definition of a bubble. But he says that long-term bonds are a risky choice right now.

Shiller: Some Tech Looks Like A Bubble

Yale Economist Robert Shiller says that some tech stocks look and feel like they are in a bubble right now, but that it doesn’t seem as bad as the late 90s tech stock bubble. Shiller tells Bloomberg that the market overall is “on the high side and it’s being driven by technology recently, but it’s […]

Shiller: U.S. Stocks Not That Overpriced

While many bears have pointed to the 10-year cyclically adjusted price/earnings (CAPE) ratio as a reason to avoid U.S. equities, Yale Economist and recent Nobel laureate Robert Shiller — who helped popularize the metric — says U.S. stocks still “should be a part of a portfolio”. Shiller tells Bloomberg Surveillance that, though the U.S. market […]

Shiller Talks Valuations, Counters Siegel

Yale Economist Robert Shiller says the market looks overpriced, but not so much so that you should avoid stocks. “I’m not really saying don’t invest in stocks,” Shiller tells CNBC’s Futures Now. “[But] don’t expect miracles. He says the market’s valuation looks “high by historical standards, but it’s not super-high. I’d say it’s suggesting — […]

Shiller On The Inscrutability Of Confidence

Confidence: It’s one of the main drivers of economies and stock markets. But as Yale Economist Robert Shiller points out in a recent New York Times column, we still know little about how it works. “There is considerable hope that the markets are heralding a major development: that Americans have lost the fears and foreboding that […]

Shiller Talks Equity Valuations

Yale Economist Robert Shiller says he thinks stocks are priced to return less than their historical averages, but that they should still be a substantial part of an investor’s portfolio. “The important thing is that you never get completely in or completely out of stocks,” Shiller tells Business Insider in discussing the 10-year cyclically adjusted […]

Shiller Still Not Sure About Housing Rebound

While many believe the housing market has turned a corner, Yale housing guru Robert Shiller isn’t so sure. Shiller tells Bloomberg that while short-term indicators are up, that also happened in 2009, but the trend didn’t turn into a long-term one. Shiller also talks about the broader financial system, which he says has gotten “a little […]

Shiller Still Not Sure Housing Has Bottomed

Yale Economist and housing guru Robert Shiller says he thinks housing prices will continue to rise for a few months, but he’s not sure the upswing will continue after that — and he doesn’t think another housing boom is coming any time soon. “A lot of people seem to think that if the market turns […]

Shiller Doubtful of Housing Recovery

Yale housing guru Robert Shiller says he’s still not convinced the housing recovery is real. Shiller tells CNBC that some 10 million homeowners are still underwater on their mortgages, and many will end up in foreclosure. Those foreclosures will add inventory to the housing market, he says, and economic risks at home and abroad are […]

Shiller Talks Housing, Fiscal Cliff, and the Election

Yale Economist Robert Shiller says the housing market is showing positive signs. But, he adds, “The problem is it’s not a really strong positive sign yet.” Shiller also says the U.S. needs “to get back to a private sector mortgage market without government dominance,” and says that a balanced-budget stimulus program could still help the […]

Shiller: Not Clear if Housing Has Bottomed

Yale economist and housing guru Robert Shiller isn’t ready to say the housing market has bottomed. “There are a lot of positive indicators, but I think people tend to overreact to these,” Shiller tells CNBC. “And if you look at the trend, which has been down since 2006, it’s a pretty strong trend that we […]

Shiller Not Convinced Of Housing Turnaround

While many signs are pointing to a housing market recovery, Yale Economist Robert Shiller — who was among the earliest to call the housing bubble that burst in the late 2000s — isn’t convinced. “His reasoning?” writes The Wall Street Journal’s Joe Light. “The home-price rebound, if that’s what it is, doesn’t yet have momentum […]