Biggs Sees Market Weakness, But No Double Dip

Hedge fund guru Barton Biggs is expecting a few weeks’ worth of weakness for the stock market, thanks to lingering trouble in Europe and a slowing economy in the U.S. “I don’t think that this correction we’re in is quite over yet,” Biggs recently said on Bloomberg Radio’s “The Hays Advantage” with Kathleen Hays. “I just don’t think it’s gone far enough. Europe is still a shipwreck, and the U.S. economy has drifted into this soft patch.” Biggs says he’s taken short positions on the German and French stock markets, but says he doesn’t think the U.S. will have a […]

Biggs Sees Pullback, Then Continued Market Gains

Hedge fund guru Barton Biggs says he’s cut back on his stock holdings, largely thanks to concerns about Europe — particularly Spain. Biggs also tells Bloomberg that the Federal Reserve’s seeming reluctance to perform further quantitative easing also has him less bullish. But Biggs says that while he’s looking for a 5% to 7% pullback in the short term, he sees stocks moving higher in the next few months with some good longer-term bullish factors in place.

Biggs Getting More Bullish

Hedge fund guru Barton Biggs has been increasing his exposure to stocks, saying that their relative attractiveness compared to bonds and fixed-income investments will drive investors toward them. “I’ve been gradually increasing and I’m up to 90 percent [long on stocks] now,” Biggs said on Bloomberg Surveillance with Tom Keene. “There is an awful lot of money that is out of stocks and in very low- yielding fixed-income instruments. I think the odds are that money is going to migrate back.” Biggs says one risk to the markets involves the tensions in the Middle East. If Israel were to “take […]

Biggs Bullish, But Cautious

Hedge fund guru Barton Biggs says he’s bullish on stocks, “assuming that the world holds together”. Biggs says he’s still very nervous about the lack of progress regarding Europe’s debt crisis, and says the demise of the Euro would cause an economic “Apocalypse”. He adds that he’s “running a moderate net long of about 65%” with his portfolio.

Biggs Turns Bearish, Citing “Pathetic” Supercommittee Effort

Hedge fund guru Barton Biggs has turned bearish, saying he thinks the odds of a recession in the first half of 2012 have increased to about 60%-70%, and that the “current spurt in the U.S. economy … is going to fade as we get into next year.” Biggs tells Bloomberg that the apparent failure of the U.S. deficit-reduction supercommittee and the continuing trouble in Europe are behind his change in tune. He thinks we’ll see the stock market decline “at least back to the lows of last summer, and God forbid maybe even a testing of the lows of 2008-2009,” […]

Biggs: “Rally Going to Continue for a While”

Hedge fund guru Barton Biggs, who had been reducing equity exposure late in the summer months, has recently reversed course and has continued to up his exposure since the announcement of the new plan to stem Europe’s debt crisis.  “This morning, all of the wise men of Europe and the economists are very negative about this European deal that was worked out last week,” Biggs tells Bloomberg. “The general feeling is that the right thing to do is to cut back on risk and that it is going to be a flop, and that all they did was kick the […]

Biggs High On Cash Amid Fear of Financial Crisis

Hedge fund guru Barton Biggs says he’s only 20% net long on equities in this market, and says we may be on the eve of another financial crisis. Biggs says policymakers have tools at their disposal to help, but have failed to come together to do so in Europe or the U.S. “In times like this, there’s nothing the matter with cash,” Biggs says. “I don’t think any place is a place to invest right now.” He adds that “When there is clarity, and when the authorities move and do something, emerging markets will be a fabulous place to invest. […]

Biggs Likes “Old” Tech Stocks; Wary of Financials

Hedge fund guru Barton Biggs says he’s continuing to find opportunities in the stock market right now, though he’s not too bullish on financials. Biggs tells Bloomberg that worries about further housing-related writedowns and questions about the legitimacy of their book values make financials a question mark. One area he likes: “older” tech stocks like Intel and Cisco, which he says are now “incredibly cheap”.

Biggs Bullish, Despite Slowing Economy

Hedge fund guru Barton Biggs says the economy has slowed, but he remains bullish on U.S. stocks. “The U.S. and the global economy have clearly slowed pretty significantly,” Biggs tells Bloomberg Surveillance. “That’s arousing the bears, who believe we’re going to slip back into a long soft patch at best or maybe even a double-dip at worst. For a number of reasons I don’t think that’s right.” Biggs says investors are overreacting to news like the European debt crisis and the recent drop in housing starts, which was weather-related. One area he likes is large U.S. industrials. “I don’t see […]

Biggs Likes Manufacturers, Capital Equipment Stocks

Hedge fund guru Barton Biggs says he has more confidence in the U.S. market than other markets around the world. “We’ve been through a period here where the bull case for the global economies has definitely weakened in the last week or so,” Biggs recently told Bloomberg. “[But] I still feel good about the U.S. market.” Biggs says the U.S. market puts investors on a more level playing field than those of other countries. He also says the recent decline in commodity prices should help the U.S. economy. He likes capital equipment stocks and manufacturing stocks, such as Caterpillar and […]

Biggs, Fisher, Birinyi Still Bullish

Several top strategists are saying that investors should stick with stocks as the bull market enters its third year. Among them: hedge fund guru Barton Biggs. “I don’t think valuations are stretched,” Biggs told Canada’s Financial Post. “The next move in the S&P 500 is more likely to be up than down, and that move could be 10% to 15%.” Laszlo Birinyi also remains bullish, saying that investors who have missed the first big wave of the bull will try to jump into the market to catch up. “These kinds of strong beginnings lead to long and durable bull markets,” […]

Biggs Looks to Big, High-Quality Multi-Nationals

Hedge fund guru Barton Biggs says recent economic data is very encouraging, and says he expects the market to continue climbing a Wall of Worry. Biggs tells Bloomberg that he thinks smaller stocks, which have had a lengthy run of outperformance, aren’t the place to be. “I would definitely be betting against them, and betting for the big caps — the big-cap, high-quality stocks,” he says. Biggs also says the upheaval in Egypt and other Middle Eastern countries hasn’t caused him to sell. One area that does have him concerned, however: the U.S. housing market.

Winters, Biggs on Where the Market Is Headed

Two top money managers, David Winters and Barton Biggs, are sounding bullish on U.S. stocks. Winters, whose mutual funds have excellent long-term track records, told Bloomberg that benchmark indexes may reach record highs as the government helps stimulate economic growth. “Winters, who favors stocks in emerging economies in Asia such as Indonesia, Malaysia and South Korea, said many U.S. companies still look attractive,” Bloomberg reports. “American equities will do ‘OK’ this year, he said.” Biggs, meanwhile, told Bloomberg Radio that “the next move in the U.S. stock market is going to be up. … How much up? I don’t know. […]

Biggs: Economy Improving, Big Market Gains Could Be Coming

While many are fearful about the repercussions of the Irish debt crisis, hedge fund manager Barton Biggs says both the U.S. and global economies are improving. Biggs tells Bloomberg that he has about half his portfolio in emerging markets, mostly in Asia, and half in U.S. stocks. He also says that, “all things being equal”, he thinks the next move for stocks may well be a big one to the upside.    

Biggs: Bernanke Is Right

Hedge fund guru Barton Biggs says Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke did what he had to do in employing the latest round of quantitative easing. Biggs tells Bloomberg that Bernanke is trying to get the U.S. out of the “normal deflationary death spiral that would follow a big financial panic”. But Biggs also says that while QE2 is the right move in the short term, it could result in big problems down the road.