Time to Bottom Feed Across the Pond

The U.S. stock market is expensive and bond yields aren’t far from record lows. European and emerging market stocks, on the other hand, have approached stomach-turning status, says Jason Zweig of the Wall Street Journal. The European market has dropped by 12% while emerging markets have plummeted by 21.8%. Stabilized oil prices and a possible interest rate hike by the Fed has lifted investors’ outlook on these markets by a marginal 2% to 3%, but the fact remains that overseas stocks are cheap. In fact, according to data from MSCI, as of April 30th the average price-to-book value of European […]

The “Art of Successful Investing” with Zulauf, Black, Herro & Priest (Part I)

Last month, Barron’s published stock picks of eight leading investors who participated in its AOSI conference.  Below are several of the longer-term trends identified by these industry leaders. Felix Zulauf, president of the hedge fund Zulauf Asset Management, sees a bear market. “We are in a recovery rally in the early stages of a cyclical bear market,” he says. After possible upward bumps for the remainder of 2015, he continues, “I see a bear market around the world, including the U.S. . . . The S&P could decline to 1600.” He explains. “we are in a deflationary cycle,” while attributing much […]

Taking "Short-term Lumps" for Long-Term Value in Emerging Markets

The manager of the Oakmark International Fund, David Herro, believes it is a good time to invest in emerging markets. The fund had roughly one-quarter of its portfolio in emerging markets in the late 1990s and “benefited greatly” from that decision over the next decade, Herro says. Then, investors became interested in emerging market stocks and “by the end of the last decade, prices got stretched,” so the fund reduced its emerging market stocks to near zero. “Now we’re finally starting to see that come full circle again,” according to Herro. He points to both “good valuations” of companies and […]

Taking “Short-term Lumps” for Long-Term Value in Emerging Markets

The manager of the Oakmark International Fund, David Herro, believes it is a good time to invest in emerging markets. The fund had roughly one-quarter of its portfolio in emerging markets in the late 1990s and “benefited greatly” from that decision over the next decade, Herro says. Then, investors became interested in emerging market stocks and “by the end of the last decade, prices got stretched,” so the fund reduced its emerging market stocks to near zero. “Now we’re finally starting to see that come full circle again,” according to Herro. He points to both “good valuations” of companies and […]

Herro's Take On Greece

Recently, David Herro of Harris Associates spoke to CNBC about his thoughts on the Greece instability, and how that affects European investments — and the top fund manager’s outlook may well surprise you.

Herro’s Take On Greece

Recently, David Herro of Harris Associates spoke to CNBC about his thoughts on the Greece instability, and how that affects European investments — and the top fund manager’s outlook may well surprise you.

Herro: There's Value In Europe

Top fund manager David Herro is finding a lot of value in the unloved European region, as well as in Japan. In a recent letter to his Oakmark International shareholders, Herro said he had about 80% of the portfolio in Europe and 11% in Japan. “How we are positioned is really a function of where we are finding individual-company value,” Herro tells Morningstar. “I think it’s really important to realize that a lot of these European and Japanese multinationals have revenue streams and cash flow streams that are really sourced from all over the world. I think that is one of […]

Roundtable: Gross, Herro, Cohen And Others On What To Expect In 2015

A number of the world’s top investment strategists recently gathered for Barron’s annual roundtable to offer their thoughts on where the economy and markets are heading. David Herro, Abby Joseph Cohen, Bill Gross, and Marc Faber were among those who participated, and overall the mood was subdued. “On the whole, they expect interest rates to stay unnaturally low, and the U.S. to lead the world in economic growth,” writes Barron’s Lauren R. Rublin. “Yet, they doubt that will translate into robust gains for the stock market. Scott Black’s expectation that the Standard & Poor’s 500 will return 10% this year […]

Herro Talks China, Oil

Fund Manager Of The Decade David Herro says that, while they are causing short-term bumps, the decline in oil prices and reforms in China should help investors down the road.