Not All Active Managers Created Equal

As investors continue to divert dollars from actively managed funds to lower-cost passively managed index funds, research conducted by two finance professors at Pace University has revealed an interesting finding, according to last week’s Wall Street Journal. The study found that diversified emerging-markets funds that are actively managed are more likely to outperform their less […]

Emerging Markets Are Making a Comeback

As the S&P 500 continues to hold investors’ attention with its steady climb, BloombergGadfly’s Nir Kaissar shares his perspective on how and why emerging markets might deserve some attention. Kaissar points out that emerging market stocks have recently outperformed the S&P 500, a sharp reversal from recent years. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index is up […]

Four Conditions Reminiscent of 1999

Rob Arnott, founder and chairman of Research Affiliates, says that the recent market environment is reminiscent of 1999, just before the tech bubble burst. Writing in Barron’s, Arnott argues that the following four “conditions parallel the extremes of the late 1990s:” “Falling inflation expectations,” which Arnott argues “snap back in reasonably short order.” He observes […]

Diversification & Rock Bottom Valuations In the Third Pillar

Rob Arnott and Christopher Brightman of Research Affiliates recently discussed the allocation and performance of PIMCO All Asset Fund, which goes outside mainstream investments into what they describe as the Third Pillar. Arnott explains that a three-year bear market in Third Pillar investments has impacted investors’ outcomes and outlooks. Although the fund’s 7% loss from […]

Mobius: Russian Stocks Offer Major Upside

Mark Mobius, executive chairman of Templeton Emerging Markets Group, says that the Russian stock market provides investors with a tremendous value right now. Russian stocks are down 36 percent since the end of 2014, although they have rebounded and are up 20 percent so far in 2016. Still, Russian shares are trading at 0.67 price-to-book, […]

Larry Swedroe on Emerging Markets, Recency Bias, and When to Buy

Director of Research for the independent investment advisor community BAM Alliance, Larry Swedroe, offers his take on the current underperformance of emerging markets versus U.S. stocks, the importance of recognizing recency bias, and the sensibility of buying low and staying globally diversified over the long-term. He notes that from 2008-15, the S&P 500 returned 6.5% […]

Emerging Markets: Lessons From History

Jason Zweig of the Wall Street Journal draws parallels between the 19th century emerging U.S. market and today’s emerging markets, especially China. “Emerging markets aren’t lucrative investments just because they are ’emerging,’” according to Zweig. From 1802 to 1870, stocks in the emerging U.S. market gained an average of 6.7% annually. Since 1926, the average […]

Marcoeconomic Indicators Suggest Caution in Emerging Markets

Emerging markets (EM) are undergoing long-term shifts that are not favorable to EM equities, according to managers of EM funds. “Things have changed,” says the executive chairman of Franklin Templeton’s emerging-markets group, Mark Mobius. The more than 20% decline in such stocks does not make them a value, based on marcoeconomic indicators. Average expansion in […]

Mobius: EM Selloff Temporary

Templeton Asset Management’s Mark Mobius says he thinks the emerging market trouble that has seeped into the U.S. market a bit will be temporary, and will provide significant buying opportunities. Mobius tells CNBC that there’s “no good reason” for the EM declines, which appear to be the result of fears that money will flow out […]

OSAM: How To Win In Emerging Markets

Emerging markets can make for enticing investments, and new research from James O’Shaughnessy’s firm shows how fundamental-focused investors can really take advantage of EM opportunities. “U.S. investors, and other investors around the world, tend to overweight their home country in their equity portfolio,” write O’Shaughnessy Asset Management’s Patrick O’Shaughnessy and Ashvin Viswanathan in a report […]

Mobius Likes Eastern Europe, Africa, and Other Regions

Emerging markets guru Mark Mobius says he is finding global valuations “rather cheap”, and says he is finding a number of attractively priced stocks in Europe, Southeast Asia, China, and Africa. “Looking at companies around the world generally, we are finding that valuations look rather cheap right now,” Mobius says in an interview posted on […]

Mobius Not Worried about Europe; High on Commodities

Emerging markets guru Mark Mobius says he’s not too worried about Europe’s financial woes triggering a global recession. “We just don’t see any cause for alarm in the sense of things completely drying up and there being a situation where nobody buys anything,” Templeton Asset Management’s Mobius told Bloomberg. “We don’t see a let-up in […]

Arnott: We’re In Recession; Emerging Markets Attractive

Rob Arnott of PIMCO and Research Affiliates says there are “pretty high odds” that the economy is in the second dip of a double-dip recession, and thinks emerging market stocks are looking attractive. Arnott tells MarketWatch that he thinks the second dip into recession likely started around June, and that buying opportunities in the markets […]